The following table contains the demand from the last 10 months:
Actual
Actual
Month
Demand
Month
Demand
1
31
6
36
2
34
7
38
3
33
8
40
4
35
9
40
5
37
10
41
a. Calculate the single exponential smoothing forecast for these data using an a of .30 and an initial forecast ( F1 ) of 31.
b. Calculate the exponential smoothing with trend forecast for these data using an a of .30 a d of .30 an initial trend forecast (T1) of 1
and an initial exponentially smoothed forecast (F1) of 30.
c. Calculate the mean absolute deviation (MAD) for each forecast. Which is best?